The Unfinished Presidencies: Why Incumbent Presidents May Lose Their Re-Election Bids
As Presidências Inacabadas: Por que os Presidentes em Exercício podem Perder a Reeleição
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.21814/perspectivas.100Keywords:
Incumbency Advantage, Party Nomination, Nomination, Presidential ElectionsAbstract
With the conclusion of the 2016 presidential election in the US, presidential scholars have shifted their attention not only to the Trump presidency, but also towards his possible re-election campaign. Throughout the history of the United States incumbent presidents have usually won their bid for a second term in office. The presidency offers incumbents several inherent electoral advantages – e.g., party nomination and unified party base, name recognition and political experience, access to government resources. However, some incumbent candidates have been unable to capitalize on these advantages. The current paper analyzes the electoral bids of Presidents Ford, Carter, and Bush, identifying the factors that can invalidate the advantages intrinsic to holding the office of President of the United States.
Resumo
Com a conclusão das eleições presidenciais de 2016 nos EUA, os analistas têm focado a sua atenção não só na presidência de Donald Trump, mas também na sua possível reeleição. Ao longo da história dos Estados Unidos, os presidentes têm geralmente ganho sua candidatura a um segundo mandato. A presidência oferece aos titulares várias vantagens eleitorais inerentes – por exemplo, nomeação e base unificada do partido, reconhecimento e experiência política, e acesso a recursos governamentais. No entanto, alguns presidents não conseguiram capitalizar nas vantagens inerentes ao cargo. O atual artigo analisa as candidaturas eleitorais dos presidentes Ford, Carter e Bush, identificando os fatores que invalidaram as vantagens intrínsecas à ocupação do cargo de presidente dos Estados Unidos.
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